Donald Trump’s firm stance against the Israeli annexation of the West Bank is being viewed as a calculated risk aimed at creating a new opening for regional peace. By publicly opposing his closest ally’s right wing, Trump is gambling that this move will build credibility with Arab nations, whose support is vital for his 21-point Gaza peace plan.
This calculated move directly addresses the primary concern of many key international players. European allies like the UK and France, as well as Arab nations led by Saudi Arabia, had lobbied intensely to prevent a US endorsement of annexation. Trump’s statement signals that their strategic arguments won the day.
The risk for Trump lies in alienating parts of the Israeli government and their supporters. The announcement creates a new and challenging dynamic for Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, who must now balance the demands of his far-right coalition against the strategic priorities of the United States.
The issue at the center of this gamble is the fate of the West Bank, where the presence of 700,000 Israeli settlers has made a two-state solution seem increasingly remote. Trump’s intervention is a powerful, if risky, attempt to prevent the situation from becoming irreversible.
The potential reward for this calculated risk is a breakthrough in the Gaza conflict. The 21-point plan to end the nearly two-year war requires a broad regional consensus. By taking a tough line on the West Bank, Trump may hope to demonstrate the seriousness of his administration’s peace efforts, thereby encouraging concessions from all sides in the Gaza negotiations.
